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Red274
1501172.8
6012121.1
3494136.5
Blue184
6498126.0
3865116.0
3947125.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972530100200300500600700274184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.80.9
177.3176.3
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
red by 46.8
6498
#25
126.00.7
125.9126.5
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End22.5
Second
3494
#17
136.50.2
136.1136.3
Auto17.2
Teleop94.5
End26.9
red by 10.9
3947
#33
125.60.3
126.5126.2
Auto18.8
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Third
6012
#28
121.10.8
124.1123.3
Auto17.8
Teleop88.5
End12.8
red by 5.0
3865
#35
116.01.1
119.1118.0
Auto17.0
Teleop86.0
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed