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Red330
3147138.6
3655125.4
461147.0
Blue411
5010163.6
829199.2
868184.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236475100300400600700800330411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#12
147.01.2
143.2144.3
Auto19.5
Teleop109.0
End19.9
blue by 52.2
829
#3
199.21.4
194.9196.3
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
Second
3147
#14
138.60.9
134.9135.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0
blue by 46.1
868
#2
184.71.4
178.9180.3
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
Third
3655
#20
125.41.7
119.3121.0
Auto17.5
Teleop96.0
End17.4
blue by 38.2
163.62.7
155.2157.9
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned