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Red418
7198120.8
1741187.0
1501172.8
Blue343
1529110.3
292139.4
868184.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052870100200500600700418343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.01.1
181.2182.3
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
red by 2.3
868
#2
184.70.8
180.3181.1
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
Second
172.81.2
176.3175.1
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
red by 33.4
292
#13
139.40.5
137.7138.2
Auto21.8
Teleop102.5
End17.7
Third
7198
#30
120.80.5
119.3119.9
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
red by 10.5
1529
#36
110.30.8
110.2109.4
Auto10.3
Teleop86.9
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed