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Red440
1747171.1
1741187.0
1529110.3
Blue138
71170.4
5010163.6
3147138.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3593260100200400500600700440138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.00.5
184.9185.4
Auto24.0
Teleop128.6
End35.1
red by 16.6
71
#18
170.40.2
170.6170.4
Auto20.8
Teleop126.5
End21.9
Second
171.10.5
168.9169.4
Auto22.2
Teleop136.1
End12.2
red by 7.5
163.60.5
163.1163.6
Auto22.0
Teleop124.3
End19.2
Third
1529
#36
110.30.2
109.4109.6
Auto10.3
Teleop86.9
End14.4
blue by 28.3
3147
#14
138.60.3
138.3138.6
Auto17.5
Teleop105.5
End17.0