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Red395
1501172.8
868184.7
7198120.8
Blue350
1720152.6
829199.2
3487156.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338398150200250300450500550395350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2
184.70.3
183.1183.4
Auto23.1
Teleop128.8
End33.3
blue by 14.6
829
#3
199.20.3
198.7199.0
Auto22.1
Teleop152.2
End25.3
Second
172.80.3
173.7173.4
Auto22.3
Teleop126.8
End25.0
red by 16.1
3487
#16
156.70.2
156.4156.5
Auto19.4
Teleop115.6
End21.8
Third
7198
#30
120.80.0
120.7120.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.0
End16.5
blue by 31.8
152.60.4
151.8152.2
Auto20.3
Teleop107.5
End27.6