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Red293
33198.0
5406216.1
2337204.5
Blue391
118191.1
2614211.8
4587193.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823420100200300500600293391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216.10.2
216.0216.1
Auto22.7
Teleop155.1
End38.2
red by 4.3
211.80.2
211.2211.4
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
Second
2337
#24
204.50.1
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 10.6
4587
#51
193.80.3
194.7194.4
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
Third
33
#30
198.00.2
198.2198.0
Auto20.0
Teleop150.5
End27.1
red by 6.8
118
#40
191.10.4
192.3191.9
Auto24.3
Teleop145.1
End17.7