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Red309
1619217.8
319223.9
2481202.9
Blue456
225215.9
2590222.6
1024203.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376375320340360400420440309456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
223.90.2
223.8223.9
Auto25.4
Teleop164.5
End33.5
red by 1.4
2590
#18
222.60.0
222.3222.3
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
Second
217.80.1
217.9217.8
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
red by 1.9
225
#23
215.90.0
215.6215.6
Auto23.3
Teleop163.2
End28.6
Third
2481
#33
202.90.5
203.4202.9
Auto22.6
Teleop164.3
End15.8
blue by 0.6
203.50.2
202.2202.3
Auto21.8
Teleop151.0
End31.6