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Red305
4028208.4
3707209.6
217220.5
Blue361
2771187.8
302200.8
3357218.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4093240100200500600700305361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
220.50.4
221.0220.5
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
red by 2.4
3357
#42
218.20.3
219.1218.8
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
3707
#14
209.60.1
209.6209.6
Auto20.6
Teleop157.6
End31.3
red by 8.9
302
#17
200.80.1
200.5200.6
Auto18.5
Teleop160.8
End19.8
Third
208.40.2
208.6208.4
Auto23.0
Teleop154.4
End31.0
red by 20.6
187.80.2
187.4187.5
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3