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Red391
1710159.5
3538212.5
1720137.9
Blue121
6800161.2
2468155.2
217220.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3433630100200300400500600700391121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#39
212.50.9
209.8210.7
Auto22.6
Teleop165.0
End21.8
blue by 8.0
217
#10
220.50.3
226.8226.5
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
Second
1710
#43
159.50.0
158.7158.7
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
blue by 1.7
6800
#56
161.20.2
167.3167.5
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
Third
1720
#70
137.90.1
146.5146.4
Auto19.0
Teleop102.1
End11.6
blue by 17.3
2468
#68
155.20.3
164.1163.7
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed