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Red411
1102178.4
384183.1
2614211.8
Blue344
1710159.5
245179.9
2363152.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162720100200500600700411344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.80.8
209.7210.5
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
red by 31.9
245
#26
179.90.1
180.0179.9
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
Second
384
#22
183.10.3
183.4183.1
Auto19.2
Teleop139.0
End26.7
red by 23.6
1710
#43
159.50.2
159.3159.5
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
Third
1102
#50
178.41.7
180.1178.4
Auto17.3
Teleop136.5
End22.8
red by 26.2
2363
#62
152.21.6
153.8152.2
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned19%Face the Boss oddsEarned