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Red218
3357218.2
1746159.7
2468155.2
Blue477
4587193.8
67204.5
1218179.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3023950100200500600218477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#42
218.20.9
220.8219.9
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
red by 13.6
67
#12
204.50.4
204.8204.4
Auto21.2
Teleop145.8
End36.0
Second
1746
#60
159.70.1
159.7159.7
Auto15.6
Teleop131.0
End13.6
blue by 34.1
4587
#51
193.81.9
196.6194.7
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
Third
2468
#68
155.20.5
155.7155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
blue by 24.0
1218
#36
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed98%Face the Boss oddsEarned