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Red334
1720137.9
3452193.0
245179.9
Blue410
2834190.0
469163.9
2791194.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33539202006008001,0001,200334410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#46
193.00.9
200.9200.0
Auto19.9
Teleop142.4
End28.4
blue by 1.1
2791
#44
194.12.6
200.8198.2
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
Second
245
#26
179.91.1
184.3183.2
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
blue by 10.0
2834
#61
190.00.4
192.8192.4
Auto20.1
Teleop145.5
End22.6
Third
1720
#70
137.90.2
146.4146.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.1
End11.6
blue by 26.1
469
#13
163.90.2
165.4165.3
Auto16.9
Teleop115.1
End34.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
91%Face the Boss oddsEarned68%Face the Boss oddsEarned