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Red89
2791194.1
2590222.6
829170.9
Blue375
3478205.4
1102178.4
1731180.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407353010020030050060070080089375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
222.60.5
238.0237.5
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
red by 17.1
3478
#38
205.40.8
211.0210.2
Auto23.6
Teleop158.6
End22.7
Second
2791
#44
194.10.2
201.0200.8
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
red by 13.3
1731
#57
180.80.5
189.3188.8
Auto22.5
Teleop133.2
End26.5
Third
829
#69
170.90.4
186.2185.8
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
blue by 7.5
1102
#50
178.41.9
194.1192.2
Auto17.3
Teleop136.5
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
98%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed