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Red504
3847156.9
865191.5
225215.9
Blue197
4967168.7
494199.3
1710159.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37733005001,0001,5002,000504197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#23
215.90.6
217.5216.9
Auto23.3
Teleop163.2
End28.6
red by 16.5
494
#55
199.30.6
205.6204.9
Auto18.1
Teleop155.6
End24.5
Second
865
#20
191.51.2
193.5192.3
Auto22.7
Teleop141.3
End28.5
red by 22.8
4967
#58
168.70.3
171.9172.2
Auto24.2
Teleop120.3
End22.4
Third
3847
#49
156.90.7
156.2155.5
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
blue by 2.6
1710
#43
159.50.8
159.8160.6
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
71%Face the Boss oddsEarned52%Face the Boss oddsMissed