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Red399
2590222.6
217220.5
20164.3
Blue257
234201.9
2013176.0
3940158.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4363030100200400500600700399257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
222.61.7
228.4226.7
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
red by 20.6
234
#54
201.90.1
204.1204.2
Auto27.8
Teleop140.4
End33.4
Second
217
#10
220.50.0
222.8222.8
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
red by 44.6
2013
#66
176.01.6
181.7180.1
Auto23.0
Teleop128.3
End22.0
Third
20
#25
164.31.1
166.0165.0
Auto20.5
Teleop125.6
End19.0
red by 5.9
3940
#67
158.41.4
163.8162.4
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
89%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsMissed