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Red314
4944173.9
2451186.1
1619217.8
Blue364
1102178.4
3538212.5
319223.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32041802006008001,000314364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.80.3
216.1216.4
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
blue by 6.1
319
#3
223.90.2
221.5221.7
Auto25.4
Teleop164.5
End33.5
Second
2451
#19
186.10.5
182.7183.2
Auto19.8
Teleop142.9
End27.8
blue by 26.4
3538
#39
212.50.4
212.8213.2
Auto22.6
Teleop165.0
End21.8
Third
4944
#41
173.90.6
174.1174.8
Auto20.6
Teleop132.4
End21.3
blue by 4.5
1102
#50
178.41.8
186.8185.0
Auto17.3
Teleop136.5
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
85%Face the Boss oddsEarned71%Face the Boss oddsMissed