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Red392
2481202.9
340207.1
195249.0
Blue269
4587193.8
4967168.7
2590222.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4582890100200400500600700392269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
249.01.4
244.2245.5
Auto23.9
Teleop188.1
End36.8
red by 26.4
2590
#18
222.61.5
226.7225.1
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
Second
340
#47
207.10.5
210.1209.6
Auto23.1
Teleop155.4
End27.3
red by 13.3
4587
#51
193.80.3
198.0197.7
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
Third
2481
#33
202.90.6
205.2204.6
Auto22.6
Teleop164.3
End15.8
red by 34.2
4967
#58
168.70.6
172.2171.5
Auto24.2
Teleop120.3
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss oddsEarned96%Face the Boss oddsEarned