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Red264
494199.3
1720137.9
4587193.8
Blue400
1747192.4
1640191.0
868196.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123910200600800264400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#55
199.31.4
203.6202.2
Auto18.1
Teleop155.6
End24.5
red by 2.8
868
#59
196.51.2
200.0198.8
Auto23.0
Teleop145.1
End23.8
Second
4587
#51
193.80.4
197.7197.2
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
red by 1.5
1747
#37
192.41.0
193.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End24.3
Third
1720
#70
137.91.7
142.4140.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.1
End11.6
blue by 53.2
1640
#52
191.00.9
193.1192.1
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
77%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsEarned