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Red354
118191.1
3478205.4
302200.8
Blue311
3538212.5
2655176.8
1706194.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943220100200500600700800354311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
205.40.9
208.4207.6
Auto23.6
Teleop158.6
End22.7
blue by 7.1
3538
#39
212.50.5
213.3212.8
Auto22.6
Teleop165.0
End21.8
Second
302
#17
200.80.1
200.6200.7
Auto18.5
Teleop160.8
End19.8
red by 5.9
1706
#27
194.80.0
195.2195.2
Auto24.1
Teleop145.7
End25.1
Third
118
#40
191.10.9
197.6196.7
Auto24.3
Teleop145.1
End17.7
red by 14.3
2655
#21
176.80.9
178.8177.9
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
52%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed