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Red264
2834190.0
865191.5
1102178.4
Blue404
2771187.8
1706194.8
2481202.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3104020100200500600264404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#20
191.50.2
192.2192.0
Auto22.7
Teleop141.3
End28.5
blue by 11.4
2481
#33
202.90.2
203.9203.8
Auto22.6
Teleop164.3
End15.8
Second
2834
#61
190.01.2
192.3191.2
Auto20.1
Teleop145.5
End22.6
blue by 4.9
1706
#27
194.80.0
195.2195.2
Auto24.1
Teleop145.7
End25.1
Third
1102
#50
178.41.7
181.8180.1
Auto17.3
Teleop136.5
End22.8
blue by 9.4
187.80.3
187.5187.3
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
46%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed