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Red391
2655176.8
2451186.1
1533196.2
Blue331
245179.9
1746159.7
4967168.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381333100200300500600391331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#11
196.20.1
196.1196.1
Auto22.8
Teleop141.0
End32.1
red by 16.3
245
#26
179.90.3
179.7180.0
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
Second
2451
#19
186.10.8
184.5185.3
Auto19.8
Teleop142.9
End27.8
red by 17.4
4967
#58
168.71.0
170.8169.8
Auto24.2
Teleop120.3
End22.4
Third
2655
#21
176.80.7
177.9177.2
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
red by 17.1
1746
#60
159.70.5
159.2159.7
Auto15.6
Teleop131.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned46%Face the Boss oddsMissed