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Quarterfinal 2-12018 IROC
Red234
611149.3
1731169.3
2914105.4
Blue420
5115116.0
623170.6
540152.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33329202004006008001,000234420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#6
169.30.6
170.5→169.9
Auto22.0
Teleop126.0
End21.5
blue by 1.3
623
#7
170.60.1
169.8→169.9
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
611
#14
149.30.0
149.4→149.4
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
blue by 2.8
540
#15
152.10.1
151.3→151.4
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
Third
2914
#23
105.40.0
105.5→105.5
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
blue by 10.6
5115
#16
116.00.5
117.2→116.7
Auto16.3
Teleop87.6
End11.7