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Qual 12018 IROC
Red287
623170.6
888164.3
1418160.4
Blue324
2537158.9
540152.1
5115116.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302850100200500600700800287324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#7
170.60.9
172.0→171.1
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
red by 11.7
2537
#10
158.91.1
163.9→162.8
Auto21.4
Teleop117.6
End18.2
Second
888
#12
164.31.1
173.3→172.2
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
red by 12.1
540
#15
152.10.5
148.6→149.2
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
Third
1418
#33
160.40.2
173.1→173.3
Auto20.3
Teleop113.9
End25.0
red by 44.4
5115
#16
116.01.7
127.7→126.0
Auto16.3
Teleop87.6
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed