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Qual 312018 IROC
Red178
5338153.0
611149.3
1389110.1
Blue326
9991106.4
5830115.3
623170.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273296200250350400450178326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#26
153.03.4
156.4→153.0
Auto16.5
Teleop121.4
End12.4
blue by 17.6
623
#7
170.60.5
170.3→169.8
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
611
#14
149.30.2
149.2→149.4
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
red by 34.1
5830
#17
115.30.4
113.9→114.3
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9
Third
1389
#31
110.11.2
111.3→110.1
Auto19.7
Teleop80.6
End11.4
red by 3.8
9991
#4
106.42.4
100.9→103.2
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed