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Qual 332018 IROC
Red312
540152.1
1123107.2
612150.7
Blue250
1895139.1
2186125.7
619123.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293301150200250350400312250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#15
152.10.0
151.3151.3
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
red by 13.0
1895
#22
139.11.9
141.0139.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.2
End14.0
Second
612
#30
150.74.1
161.3157.2
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
red by 24.9
2186
#32
125.70.0
125.8125.7
Auto13.3
Teleop100.9
End11.9
Third
1123
#20
107.21.1
108.2107.2
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End11.0
blue by 16.5
619
#25
123.60.3
123.4123.7
Auto16.1
Teleop94.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed