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Red430
1574218.1
1577197.8
7079148.1
Blue304
1690177.5
5554173.1
5951141.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429303100200400500600700430304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.10.0
218.1218.1
Auto23.8
Teleop159.0
End33.1
red by 40.6
177.50.2
177.3177.5
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
Second
197.80.1
197.7197.8
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
red by 24.7
173.10.4
172.7173.1
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
Third
7079
#15
148.10.2
147.9148.1
Auto18.6
Teleop112.3
End17.4
red by 7.2
5951
#21
141.00.1
140.9141.0
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9