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Red372
2630188.5
5291168.0
4320125.6
Blue359
3075169.4
7039145.9
2212139.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372325200300400500600372359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.50.0
188.4188.4
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
red by 19.1
3075
#26
169.40.3
169.1169.4
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End24.4
Second
168.00.3
167.0167.3
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
red by 22.1
7039
#11
145.90.5
145.5145.9
Auto19.8
Teleop110.9
End17.4
Third
4320
#22
125.60.5
124.2124.7
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
blue by 14.1
2212
#14
139.80.2
140.0139.8
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8