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Red377
3316182.6
4416130.1
2212139.8
Blue253
3075169.4
3339176.8
5614166.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283418100200500600700377253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.62.0
168.8170.8
Auto24.9
Teleop134.2
End24.3
red by 5.8
176.82.0
164.5166.5
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Second
2212
#14
139.80.4
138.8138.4
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8
blue by 29.6
3075
#26
169.40.7
169.8170.5
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End24.4
Third
4416
#36
130.10.4
132.4132.0
Auto14.0
Teleop103.9
End12.4
blue by 35.9
5614
#18
166.11.4
167.5168.9
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed