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Red177
2679155.4
7067127.2
6741124.2
Blue450
5554173.1
2231164.0
7039145.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291392100200500600700177450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2679
#37Sur
155.40.5
156.0156.5
Auto19.8
Teleop113.2
End20.6
blue by 17.6
5554
#2Sur
173.11.2
154.2155.4
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
Second
7067
#23
127.20.6
125.7126.3
Auto17.7
Teleop93.2
End15.7
blue by 36.8
164.00.1
159.5159.4
Auto23.4
Teleop133.2
End7.9
Third
6741
#27
124.22.2
122.5124.7
Auto17.3
Teleop92.8
End11.6
blue by 21.7
7039
#11
145.92.3
133.2135.5
Auto19.8
Teleop110.9
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed