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Red226
5990150.9
3211128.6
3339176.8
Blue348
7112107.0
6736113.5
1690177.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368249100200300400500600226348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.80.7
167.0167.7
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
blue by 0.7
177.50.6
166.7167.3
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
Second
5990
#24
150.90.8
144.8145.5
Auto18.0
Teleop111.3
End20.8
red by 37.4
6736
#38
113.50.3
115.6115.9
Auto15.9
Teleop84.7
End13.6
Third
3211
#35
128.60.8
131.0131.9
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
red by 21.6
7112
#34
107.01.1
106.0104.9
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed