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Red376
5635134.3
2679155.4
1577197.8
Blue413
5654184.2
3339176.8
4416130.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375340200250300400450500550376413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.80.6
186.0186.6
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
red by 13.5
5654
#12
184.20.4
188.2187.8
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
Second
2679
#37
155.40.8
156.5155.7
Auto19.8
Teleop113.2
End20.6
blue by 21.4
176.80.2
167.7167.5
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Third
5635
#13
134.32.3
142.2139.8
Auto18.2
Teleop103.8
End12.4
red by 4.1
4416
#36
130.10.5
131.5131.0
Auto14.0
Teleop103.9
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed