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Red274
5715130.6
7177127.2
7112107.0
Blue420
3083136.9
4586149.5
3065130.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363690100200300400500600700274420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5715
#19
130.60.3
125.5125.2
Auto21.7
Teleop98.0
End17.0
blue by 18.8
4586
#17
149.50.5
141.4141.9
Auto17.0
Teleop112.7
End17.8
Second
7177
#30
127.21.1
125.7124.6
Auto15.6
Teleop95.7
End14.9
blue by 9.7
3083
#28
136.90.7
135.9135.2
Auto17.7
Teleop97.9
End22.9
Third
7112
#34
107.00.4
104.9104.6
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End10.6
blue by 23.7
3065
#39
130.81.6
135.9134.3
Auto17.2
Teleop99.3
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed