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Red364
1690177.5
6104167.5
5554173.1
Blue312
3339176.8
5951141.0
1577197.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352352320340350360364312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.8
168.3169.1
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
blue by 20.3
197.80.1
187.4187.5
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
Second
173.11.6
156.7158.3
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
blue by 3.7
176.80.0
167.5167.5
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Third
6104
#16
167.50.9
166.8167.7
Auto19.8
Teleop123.8
End23.7
red by 26.6
5951
#21
141.00.8
140.2140.9
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned