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Red321
1942130.8
7079148.1
3316182.6
Blue428
2212139.8
3211128.6
1577197.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345331250300400450500321428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.61.3
177.1178.4
Auto24.9
Teleop134.2
End24.3
blue by 15.1
197.80.2
187.5187.7
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
Second
7079
#15
148.11.1
139.8140.9
Auto18.6
Teleop112.3
End17.4
red by 8.4
2212
#14
139.80.3
137.7138.0
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8
Third
1942
#45
130.82.1
139.6137.6
Auto17.0
Teleop94.1
End18.5
red by 2.2
3211
#35
128.61.1
131.0129.9
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsEarned