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Red417
4586149.5
1690177.5
5038128.3
Blue278
4590124.8
5987175.3
5654184.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338334280300320360380400417278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.51.0
169.1170.1
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
blue by 6.7
5654
#12
184.20.3
187.6187.3
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
Second
4586
#17
149.50.7
143.3144.0
Auto17.0
Teleop112.7
End17.8
blue by 25.8
5987
#10
175.30.7
169.8170.5
Auto22.3
Teleop136.8
End17.7
Third
5038
#40
128.30.2
127.5127.7
Auto18.6
Teleop98.9
End12.6
red by 3.5
4590
#41
124.80.4
125.4125.0
Auto16.2
Teleop96.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed