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Red270
5614166.1
4320125.6
3065130.8
Blue435
6741124.2
5291168.0
3339176.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093610100200400500600700800270435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5614
#18
166.10.5
170.2169.7
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End18.2
blue by 10.7
176.80.0
167.5167.5
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Second
3065
#39
130.80.1
133.9133.7
Auto17.2
Teleop99.3
End14.0
blue by 37.2
168.00.2
162.0161.8
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
Third
4320
#22
125.60.1
123.6123.7
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End17.4
red by 1.4
6741
#27
124.20.2
125.2125.4
Auto17.3
Teleop92.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned