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Red324
5951141.0
2212139.8
3835174.8
Blue464
1577197.8
7112107.0
2630188.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31734001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000324464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3835
#25
174.80.4
175.7176.1
Auto20.1
Teleop135.5
End14.8
blue by 23.0
197.81.0
187.7188.7
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
Second
5951
#21
141.00.3
141.6141.3
Auto17.9
Teleop109.3
End14.9
blue by 47.6
188.50.9
182.2183.1
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
Third
2212
#14
139.81.1
138.0139.2
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8
red by 32.7
7112
#34
107.00.8
104.3103.4
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned