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Red300
6740114.6
4586149.5
7177127.2
Blue303
2231164.0
158095.0
5635134.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653070100200400500600300303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#17
149.51.1
144.0145.1
Auto17.0
Teleop112.7
End17.8
blue by 14.5
164.00.9
160.1160.9
Auto23.4
Teleop133.2
End7.9
Second
7177
#30
127.20.4
124.1124.5
Auto15.6
Teleop95.7
End14.9
blue by 7.1
5635
#13
134.30.7
136.6135.9
Auto18.2
Teleop103.8
End12.4
Third
6740
#44
114.61.4
118.6117.2
Auto12.2
Teleop94.6
End7.7
red by 19.6
1580
#32
95.00.9
97.096.0
Auto15.4
Teleop75.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed