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Red324
6104167.5
3034145.6
3083136.9
Blue334
4416130.1
5554173.1
4586149.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318353200250400450500550324334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6104
#16
167.50.8
170.0169.2
Auto19.8
Teleop123.8
End23.7
blue by 5.5
173.12.3
162.1164.4
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
Second
3034
#33
145.60.5
145.1144.6
Auto17.3
Teleop112.2
End19.6
blue by 3.9
4586
#17
149.51.1
145.1146.2
Auto17.0
Teleop112.7
End17.8
Third
3083
#28
136.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.7
Teleop97.9
End22.9
red by 6.8
4416
#36
130.10.2
129.5129.3
Auto14.0
Teleop103.9
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed