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Red301
3065130.8
5038128.3
3339176.8
Blue454
3211128.6
1574218.1
7039145.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272405100200300500600700301454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.80.9
168.7169.7
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
blue by 41.2
218.10.6
215.2215.8
Auto23.8
Teleop159.0
End33.1
Second
3065
#39
130.80.8
133.1132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop99.3
End14.0
blue by 15.2
7039
#11
145.91.0
141.8142.7
Auto19.8
Teleop110.9
End17.4
Third
5038
#40
128.30.4
128.4128.0
Auto18.6
Teleop98.9
End12.6
blue by 0.3
3211
#35
128.60.3
129.9129.6
Auto20.2
Teleop94.7
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed