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Red424
3083136.9
1577197.8
5291168.0
Blue284
3075169.4
6740114.6
7067127.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362630100200300400500600700424284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.82.0
193.1195.1
Auto22.2
Teleop140.1
End33.9
red by 28.4
3075
#26
169.40.4
167.8168.2
Auto22.2
Teleop124.4
End24.4
Second
168.00.9
164.7165.6
Auto18.8
Teleop130.8
End19.2
red by 40.7
7067
#23
127.20.2
126.8127.0
Auto17.7
Teleop93.2
End15.7
Third
3083
#28
136.90.5
136.0136.6
Auto17.7
Teleop97.9
End22.9
red by 22.4
6740
#44
114.60.3
115.1114.8
Auto12.2
Teleop94.6
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed