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Red260
5654184.2
2212139.8
4744121.4
Blue416
6230121.7
1657154.0
5554173.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335365100200300400500600260416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#12
184.20.4
185.7185.3
Auto22.2
Teleop129.5
End32.3
red by 11.2
173.11.6
166.4168.0
Auto21.4
Teleop126.4
End26.9
Second
2212
#14
139.80.4
140.3140.7
Auto24.7
Teleop105.3
End9.8
blue by 14.2
1657
#20
154.00.3
154.0153.7
Auto21.1
Teleop115.8
End16.8
Third
4744
#43
121.40.1
122.1122.0
Auto17.4
Teleop92.4
End11.6
blue by 0.4
6230
#29
121.70.7
120.0120.7
Auto17.2
Teleop95.9
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed