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Red295
3083136.9
5715130.6
2630188.5
Blue425
7067127.2
3339176.8
1690177.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322372100200500600700800295425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.50.2
188.5188.4
Auto21.1
Teleop141.5
End27.4
red by 11.0
177.50.4
176.7176.3
Auto22.3
Teleop139.4
End16.3
Second
3083
#28
136.90.4
136.6136.9
Auto17.7
Teleop97.9
End22.9
blue by 39.9
176.82.1
171.5173.6
Auto26.3
Teleop129.5
End26.0
Third
5715
#19
130.62.1
128.5130.6
Auto21.7
Teleop98.0
End17.0
red by 3.4
7067
#23
127.20.2
127.0127.2
Auto17.7
Teleop93.2
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed