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Red406
1577165.0
1574190.2
6741117.9
Blue251
1690148.5
2630152.5
4338113.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370294100200400500600700406251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.20.8
188.8189.6
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 37.7
152.51.0
150.7151.7
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
Second
165.00.9
163.4164.2
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
red by 16.5
148.50.2
148.3148.4
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
Third
6741
#24
117.90.1
117.8117.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.7
End12.5
red by 4.2
4338
#29
113.60.6
112.6113.2
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7