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Red511
1577165.0
1574190.2
6741117.9
Blue193
5038129.6
5990125.9
5951127.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403231100300500600700511193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.20.8
186.3187.1
Auto26.1
Teleop138.2
End28.0
red by 60.6
5038
#27
129.60.6
130.2129.6
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
Second
165.00.9
160.5161.5
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
red by 37.1
5951
#22
127.90.1
127.8127.9
Auto15.9
Teleop103.9
End8.6
Third
6741
#24
117.90.1
117.7117.6
Auto16.4
Teleop88.7
End12.5
blue by 8.0
5990
#14
125.90.4
125.5125.9
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1