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Red239
1576105.5
3211134.8
3316141.1
Blue208
4338113.6
5291152.2
6168117.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287290150200250350400450239208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3316
#11
141.114.5
88.6103.1
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
blue by 11.1
152.214.7
86.4101.1
Auto17.8
Teleop116.5
End14.6
Second
134.814.0
93.1107.1
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
red by 17.8
6168
#26
117.015.5
79.094.5
Auto14.8
Teleop91.1
End10.7
Third
1576
#28
105.516.9
66.283.1
Auto17.0
Teleop80.2
End6.0
blue by 8.1
4338
#29
113.615.7
77.192.8
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed