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Red426
4319103.5
1690148.5
1657157.6
Blue225
5990125.9
1937126.1
5038129.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275277150200250300350400426225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.66.7
119.8126.5
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
red by 28.0
5038
#27
129.65.9
114.1120.0
Auto13.9
Teleop106.7
End6.5
Second
148.50.1
148.6148.7
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
red by 22.4
1937
#15
126.14.3
112.4116.7
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
Third
4319
#23
103.54.8
91.396.1
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.3
blue by 22.4
5990
#14
125.93.3
111.3114.5
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed