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Red308
2630152.5
3211134.8
604990.5
Blue255
5951127.9
1577165.0
1576105.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293276100150200250350400450308255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.54.0
126.7130.7
Auto20.2
Teleop121.2
End14.0
blue by 12.5
165.04.3
126.5130.8
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End25.8
Second
134.83.6
127.4131.0
Auto22.7
Teleop101.2
End7.3
red by 6.9
5951
#22
127.92.6
119.2121.8
Auto15.9
Teleop103.9
End8.6
Third
6049
#33DQ
90.51.9
100.1102.1
Auto14.0
Teleop74.0
End-0.9
blue by 15.0
1576
#28
105.50.7
100.3101.0
Auto17.0
Teleop80.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed