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Red330
7112103.0
1690148.5
1937126.1
Blue248
4590131.6
5990125.9
2679123.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062520100200400500330248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.50.9
151.3152.3
Auto23.2
Teleop114.2
End10.7
red by 16.9
4590
#20
131.60.9
127.4128.2
Auto14.9
Teleop104.2
End9.1
Second
1937
#15
126.11.2
119.0120.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.3
End11.2
red by 0.2
5990
#14
125.90.8
116.3117.1
Auto13.2
Teleop98.1
End18.1
Third
103.01.8
97.198.9
Auto15.2
Teleop85.6
End0.8
blue by 20.1
2679
#21
123.12.4
117.5119.9
Auto17.5
Teleop94.5
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed