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Red175
2212131.7
5928110.1
7112103.0
Blue424
1657157.6
6104157.8
3316141.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073750100300500600175424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#13
131.73.4
118.8122.2
Auto22.9
Teleop101.7
End6.7
blue by 26.1
157.87.7
128.9136.6
Auto20.9
Teleop113.8
End22.2
Second
5928
#34
110.11.0
112.5113.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.0
End3.0
blue by 47.5
157.64.4
137.9142.2
Auto17.8
Teleop117.9
End23.0
Third
103.01.7
98.9100.6
Auto15.2
Teleop85.6
End0.8
blue by 38.2
3316
#11
141.12.8
129.5132.3
Auto19.8
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed